Colonnade publishes industry commentary on home warranty industry.
Investments and M&A activity in the vehicle service contract (VSC) industry continue on a breakneck pace; Colonnade has tracked dozens of transactions over the past three years. With a flood of capital seeking related investment opportunities, we see investor interest expanding into home warranties, a $2.3 billion market.
In many ways, the home warranty industry today mirrors the VSC market a decade ago, providing an interesting growth thesis. Since the mid-2000’s, VSC retail prices have doubled to $3000 from $1500 each; new vehicle penetration rates have doubled to more than 40%; and penetration among used vehicles has exploded with the growth of the direct to consumer channel and the use of payment plans to finance these high ticket consumer purchases. Product innovation, marketing, and capital have grown the industry significantly. Low penetration rates characterize the nascent home warranty market, and we expect significant investment in product marketing and innovation over the next decade.
The home warranty market enjoys similar positive industry fundamentals as other warranty segments, especially the VSC market, including strong growth, margins and cash flow. As consolidators provide a logical and ready exit path, we expect to see interest among financial sponsors increase in this industry in the next three to five years. Such interest can provide growth equity and/or liquidity to owners of promising, established home warranty platforms.